Exploring the Potential for Lunar Commerce
On June 24, 2005, space-related industry leaders invited non-space industry
executives to a dialogue exploring how lunar commerce could help achieve the
economic growth foreseen by the national Vision for Space Exploration. One
of the key conclusions was that publicly-funded exploration should
facilitate a truly open approach to lunar development, providing flexibility
for business and government stakeholders in entry, exit, collaboration, and
innovation. In creating such a system, the perspective of non-space business
leaders is critical because they understand how to go beyond government
contracting and create truly commercial markets, where government is only
one of many customers.
To keep the event small and informal enough for genuine dialogue to begin,
the invitation-only executive roundtable was held to under 100 participants
and was closed to the press. The agenda was comprehensive, addressing
enabling technologies, potential commercial markets, public-private
interaction options, and legal issues. Industry sponsors included five
established space industry contractors (The Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin
Corporation, Honeywell International, Northrop Grumman Corporation, and the
Raytheon Company), one entrepreneurial space company (Transformational Space
Corporation “tSpace”), and one company outside the traditional space
sector (Bechtel Corporation). To emphasize the necessity of involving the
business community outside the traditional space sector, the event was
hosted by The Maguire Energy Institute, affiliated with the Cox Business
School of Southern Methodist University. NASA, as well as numerous members
of the academic and entrepreneurial communities, provided technical
consultation and associated services. Representing state governments
encouraging lunar commerce as a potential source of new high-tech jobs, the
Texas Governor’s Office also participated. Two more roundtables are
anticipated by early 2006, retaining a dialogue focus but expanding in both
size and scope.
Recognizing that deployment of satellites in Earth orbit has already created
a multi-billion dollar telecommunications industry, roundtable participants
learned that extending economic activity somewhat further into space might
enable even greater economic growth. The spectacularly successful Apollo
program clearly demonstrated both that the Moon is accessible and that lunar
materials have potential commercial uses. Subsequent technical advances in
chemistry, robotics, and communications, to name only a fewhave made
development of this nearby “eighth continent” even more practical today.
Potential commercial markets include energy, transportation, mining,
construction, manufacturing, entertainment, advertising, branding, and
sponsorship. Such markets might both provide products valuable on Earth and
stimulate economic growth on or near the Moon. Affordable initial
assessment of lunar opportunities might begin soonusing new, advanced
robots that can be deployed before significant human presence is achieved.
But lunar development poses significant risks for both public and private
sector stakeholders. For industry, risks include technical, market,
financial, and legal-regulatory factors. For NASA, there are risks
associated with ensuring the affordability and sustainability of publicly
funded space exploration efforts. Mutual need raises the possibility of industry and government cooperation. Early and open dialogue is the first step toward developing truly effective risk- reduction partnerships.